Brand Attributes
To understand the company better in-depth, brand attributes for both rational and emotional aspects were developed. These became the basis for scenario planning.
Driving Forces
A list of driving forces in which they had the potential to happen within the next five years was developed based on 5 categories - Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental, and Political.
Each force was based on information from secondary research including buzz reports, journals, and online articles. One “black swan”, an unexpected incident that is vulnerable to avoid was also included within the driving forces.
2X2 Matrix
The driving forces were put onto the 2X2 matrix with the x-axis measuring the certainty and the y-axis measuring the level of significance.
The ones located at the upper right quadrant were to be considered for further development for the scenario planning.
Cause & Effect
The driving forces from the upper right quadrant of the 2X2 matrix were considered as the causes for a plausible 5-year scenario.
Under each cause, effects that may be triggered from the cause were narrated and were also categorized by the STEEP factors.
Plot Direction & Visual Rhetoric
Based on the 2X2 matrix and cause & effect analysis, a plot for the 5-year scenario was brainstormed. Moreover, chapter titles and rhetorical images for each phase of the plot were added to better the comprehension of the scenario.
Scenario Logic
Based on the two STEEP categories that were highlighted in the previous 2X2 matrix, I created another 2X2 chart to explain the scenario logic.
As the scenario planning is to be prepared for the worst situation, variables for both axes were placed accordingly, and the right upper quadrant was the section where my scenario was based on. Each quadrant was themed with a title and representative image.
Scenario Narrative
The full scenario was narrated based on the previous analyses and plotting. For a better understanding of the narrative, a video that explains and visualizes each plotting stage was also created.
Implications & Responses
The final stage concluded with providing implications and responses for the narrated scenario. This would include comments as well as suggestions the brand or corporate may take in to be prepared for the near future.
Appendix
The process book below contains details and scenarios for all 5, 10, and 15-years. Please view it in full screen for better legibility.